internal prediction market
Forecast outcomes. Climb the board. Win the month.
Shepbet helps teams turn opinions into forecasts using monthly points, fractional positions, and a transparent leaderboard.
Market pulse
Today's movers
Will Q3 NPS finish above 45?
Yes 58%Will onboarding time drop below 4 days?
Yes 41%Will API uptime stay above 99.95% this month?
Yes 67%Will support backlog close under 120 tickets?
Yes 36%Blue means confidence moved up. Pink-red means confidence moved down.
Why teams use it
Simple mechanics, competitive energy.
The system is straightforward enough for everyone and sharp enough to reward strong forecasting instincts.
Monthly Point Allocation
Everyone gets the same use-it-or-lose-it monthly points. Each month starts fresh, so momentum never gets stale.
- Fresh reset every month
- Equal starting balance
- Keeps engagement consistent
Fractional Positions
Contracts are worth one point, and you can spread points fractionally across multiple markets based on confidence.
- Split points across contracts
- Adjust risk by conviction
- Simple to explain
Transparent Leaderboard
Track who is forecasting well this month. The top performers earn bragging rights and company prizes.
- Live rank movement
- Clear monthly winners
- Friendly internal rivalry
FAQ
Quick answers before you jump in.
Everything on this page is intentionally lightweight. Learn the basics, then log in and start forecasting.
Is this real-money betting?
No. It is an internal points-based prediction market designed for forecasting and friendly competition.
What happens to unused points?
Points expire at the end of each month. Everyone gets a new allocation when the next month begins.
Who can participate?
Anyone in the company who is invited can join, take positions, and climb the leaderboard.
How are winners recognized?
Monthly leaderboard leaders are highlighted and can earn company prizes for strong forecasting performance.
Ready to forecast?
Start this month's run.
Use your points before month end, move up the leaderboard, and see who calls it best.